baseline_38.json 1.2 MB

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  1. {
  2. "meta": {
  3. "built": "2026-08-26",
  4. "anchor_guard_days": 120,
  5. "min_windows": 3,
  6. "windows": {
  7. "hist2024_w0504": "2024-05-04",
  8. "hist2024_w0831": "2024-08-31",
  9. "hist2024_w1226": "2024-12-26",
  10. "hist2025_w0314": "2025-03-14",
  11. "w0127": "2026-02-03",
  12. "w0707": "2026-07-07",
  13. "w0711": "2026-07-11",
  14. "w0724": "2026-07-24",
  15. "w0805": "2026-08-05",
  16. "w0811": "2026-08-11"
  17. },
  18. "layers": "self (变了没) / fleet (比别人高没) / abs (严重不严重) — 三者独立, 只报一个会误导",
  19. "self_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位 (+正常带[min,max]+relMAD); 健康期 = 排除实物锚 ±120 天 与 锚后未恢复窗",
  20. "caveat": "自基线假设健康期窗代表正常; 慢性劣化台该假设失效 → 见 recovered_after_anchor / trend_flag",
  21. "usage_limit": "★ 本基线**不作自动报警闸**: 2026-08-26 参数扫描实测, 当前数据密度下误报率压到 6.3%% 时检出率仅 14.3%% (6/42 锚单元且集中在 20# 一台), 加持续性要求(连续2窗)检出率归零 — 多数锚台只有 1~2 个锚前窗。ROC 接近随机 ⇒ 正确用法 = ①量化描述(报 x_self 而非\"偏高\"这类模糊词) ②人工研判输入 ③趋势跟踪积累窗数。自动报警须等窗数够做持续性检验。",
  22. "false_alarm_control": "三条: ①阈值由自身 relMAD 定非拍脑袋 ②三源取 max(自身/fleet p90/ISO) ③持续性(数据够时启用)"
  23. },
  24. "absolute_limits": {
  25. "iso_rms_vel": {
  26. "unit": "mm/s",
  27. "yellow": 7.1,
  28. "red": 11.0,
  29. "source": "ISO 20816-3 (机组 >300kW 刚性安装) 区界 B/C 与 C/D"
  30. },
  31. "Rms_Vel": {
  32. "unit": "mm/s",
  33. "yellow": 7.1,
  34. "red": 11.0,
  35. "source": "同 iso_rms_vel (同为速度 RMS; 频带口径以厂商配置为准)"
  36. }
  37. },
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  99. "Gear_HS_rotor_side|Peak": {
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  111. "Gear_HS_rotor_side|Rms_HP": {
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  147. "Gear_IMS|Peak": {
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  22014. "n_windows_total": 4,
  22015. "n_windows_healthy": 4,
  22016. "excluded": [],
  22017. "unit": "mm/s",
  22018. "self_baseline": 0.002031,
  22019. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22020. "normal_band": [
  22021. 0.001993,
  22022. 0.002059
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  22024. "rel_mad": 0.0091,
  22025. "threshold_self": 0.00264,
  22026. "threshold_note": "max(center×max(1+2.0×relMAD, 1.3), 健康期最大×1.05) — 由该台自身散布定非拍脑袋倍数, 且保证历史正常波动不自触发",
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  22029. "hist2024_w1226",
  22030. "hist2025_w0314",
  22031. "w0127"
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  22033. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22034. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22035. "latest": 0.002059,
  22036. "x_self": 1.014,
  22037. "in_normal_band": true,
  22038. "spread": 1.033,
  22039. "trend_flag": "自基线可能已污染 (健康期窗单调上升, 基线中心被抬高)"
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  22042. "Gear_IMS": {
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  22044. "n_windows_total": 4,
  22045. "n_windows_healthy": 4,
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  22047. "unit": "-",
  22048. "self_baseline": 3.00955,
  22049. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
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  22051. 3.003995,
  22052. 3.013555
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  22054. "rel_mad": 0.001,
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  22059. "hist2024_w1226",
  22060. "hist2025_w0314",
  22061. "w0127"
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  22063. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22064. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22065. "latest": 3.00752,
  22066. "x_self": 0.999,
  22067. "in_normal_band": true,
  22068. "spread": 1.003,
  22069. "trend_flag": null
  22070. },
  22071. "Peak": {
  22072. "n_windows_total": 4,
  22073. "n_windows_healthy": 4,
  22074. "excluded": [],
  22075. "unit": "m/s²",
  22076. "self_baseline": 10.70745,
  22077. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22078. "normal_band": [
  22079. 9.698575,
  22080. 10.9381
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  22082. "rel_mad": 0.0114,
  22083. "threshold_self": 13.919685,
  22084. "threshold_note": "max(center×max(1+2.0×relMAD, 1.3), 健康期最大×1.05) — 由该台自身散布定非拍脑袋倍数, 且保证历史正常波动不自触发",
  22085. "healthy_windows": [
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  22087. "hist2024_w1226",
  22088. "hist2025_w0314",
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  22091. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22092. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22093. "latest": 10.9381,
  22094. "x_self": 1.022,
  22095. "in_normal_band": true,
  22096. "spread": 1.128,
  22097. "trend_flag": null
  22098. },
  22099. "Rms_HP": {
  22100. "n_windows_total": 4,
  22101. "n_windows_healthy": 4,
  22102. "excluded": [],
  22103. "unit": "m/s²",
  22104. "self_baseline": 2.322925,
  22105. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22106. "normal_band": [
  22107. 2.18043,
  22108. 2.3427
  22109. ],
  22110. "rel_mad": 0.0066,
  22111. "threshold_self": 3.019803,
  22112. "threshold_note": "max(center×max(1+2.0×relMAD, 1.3), 健康期最大×1.05) — 由该台自身散布定非拍脑袋倍数, 且保证历史正常波动不自触发",
  22113. "healthy_windows": [
  22114. "hist2024_w0504",
  22115. "hist2024_w1226",
  22116. "hist2025_w0314",
  22117. "w0127"
  22118. ],
  22119. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22120. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22121. "latest": 2.33392,
  22122. "x_self": 1.005,
  22123. "in_normal_band": true,
  22124. "spread": 1.074,
  22125. "trend_flag": null
  22126. },
  22127. "Rms_Vel": {
  22128. "n_windows_total": 4,
  22129. "n_windows_healthy": 4,
  22130. "excluded": [],
  22131. "unit": "mm/s",
  22132. "self_baseline": 0.00132,
  22133. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22134. "normal_band": [
  22135. 0.001172,
  22136. 0.001339
  22137. ],
  22138. "rel_mad": 0.0108,
  22139. "threshold_self": 0.001716,
  22140. "threshold_note": "max(center×max(1+2.0×relMAD, 1.3), 健康期最大×1.05) — 由该台自身散布定非拍脑袋倍数, 且保证历史正常波动不自触发",
  22141. "healthy_windows": [
  22142. "hist2024_w0504",
  22143. "hist2024_w1226",
  22144. "hist2025_w0314",
  22145. "w0127"
  22146. ],
  22147. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22148. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22149. "latest": 0.001339,
  22150. "x_self": 1.014,
  22151. "in_normal_band": true,
  22152. "spread": 1.142,
  22153. "trend_flag": null
  22154. }
  22155. },
  22156. "Gear_planet": {
  22157. "Kurtosis": {
  22158. "n_windows_total": 4,
  22159. "n_windows_healthy": 4,
  22160. "excluded": [],
  22161. "unit": "-",
  22162. "self_baseline": 3.100577,
  22163. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22164. "normal_band": [
  22165. 3.07759,
  22166. 3.117745
  22167. ],
  22168. "rel_mad": 0.0033,
  22169. "threshold_self": 4.030751,
  22170. "threshold_note": "max(center×max(1+2.0×relMAD, 1.3), 健康期最大×1.05) — 由该台自身散布定非拍脑袋倍数, 且保证历史正常波动不自触发",
  22171. "healthy_windows": [
  22172. "hist2024_w0504",
  22173. "hist2024_w1226",
  22174. "hist2025_w0314",
  22175. "w0127"
  22176. ],
  22177. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22178. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22179. "latest": 3.07759,
  22180. "x_self": 0.993,
  22181. "in_normal_band": true,
  22182. "spread": 1.013,
  22183. "trend_flag": null
  22184. },
  22185. "Peak": {
  22186. "n_windows_total": 4,
  22187. "n_windows_healthy": 4,
  22188. "excluded": [],
  22189. "unit": "m/s²",
  22190. "self_baseline": 5.990147,
  22191. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22192. "normal_band": [
  22193. 5.59263,
  22194. 6.358495
  22195. ],
  22196. "rel_mad": 0.0427,
  22197. "threshold_self": 7.787192,
  22198. "threshold_note": "max(center×max(1+2.0×relMAD, 1.3), 健康期最大×1.05) — 由该台自身散布定非拍脑袋倍数, 且保证历史正常波动不自触发",
  22199. "healthy_windows": [
  22200. "hist2024_w0504",
  22201. "hist2024_w1226",
  22202. "hist2025_w0314",
  22203. "w0127"
  22204. ],
  22205. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22206. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22207. "latest": 5.84749,
  22208. "x_self": 0.976,
  22209. "in_normal_band": true,
  22210. "spread": 1.137,
  22211. "trend_flag": null
  22212. },
  22213. "Rms_HP": {
  22214. "n_windows_total": 4,
  22215. "n_windows_healthy": 4,
  22216. "excluded": [],
  22217. "unit": "m/s²",
  22218. "self_baseline": 1.156835,
  22219. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22220. "normal_band": [
  22221. 1.113395,
  22222. 1.183975
  22223. ],
  22224. "rel_mad": 0.0123,
  22225. "threshold_self": 1.503886,
  22226. "threshold_note": "max(center×max(1+2.0×relMAD, 1.3), 健康期最大×1.05) — 由该台自身散布定非拍脑袋倍数, 且保证历史正常波动不自触发",
  22227. "healthy_windows": [
  22228. "hist2024_w0504",
  22229. "hist2024_w1226",
  22230. "hist2025_w0314",
  22231. "w0127"
  22232. ],
  22233. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22234. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22235. "latest": 1.15826,
  22236. "x_self": 1.001,
  22237. "in_normal_band": true,
  22238. "spread": 1.063,
  22239. "trend_flag": null
  22240. },
  22241. "Rms_Vel": {
  22242. "n_windows_total": 4,
  22243. "n_windows_healthy": 4,
  22244. "excluded": [],
  22245. "unit": "mm/s",
  22246. "self_baseline": 0.001116,
  22247. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22248. "normal_band": [
  22249. 0.001099,
  22250. 0.001156
  22251. ],
  22252. "rel_mad": 0.0087,
  22253. "threshold_self": 0.001451,
  22254. "threshold_note": "max(center×max(1+2.0×relMAD, 1.3), 健康期最大×1.05) — 由该台自身散布定非拍脑袋倍数, 且保证历史正常波动不自触发",
  22255. "healthy_windows": [
  22256. "hist2024_w0504",
  22257. "hist2024_w1226",
  22258. "hist2025_w0314",
  22259. "w0127"
  22260. ],
  22261. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22262. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22263. "latest": 0.001156,
  22264. "x_self": 1.035,
  22265. "in_normal_band": true,
  22266. "spread": 1.052,
  22267. "trend_flag": "自基线可能已污染 (健康期窗单调上升, 基线中心被抬高)"
  22268. }
  22269. },
  22270. "Generator_DE": {
  22271. "Kurtosis": {
  22272. "n_windows_total": 4,
  22273. "n_windows_healthy": 4,
  22274. "excluded": [],
  22275. "unit": "-",
  22276. "self_baseline": 27.601843,
  22277. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22278. "normal_band": [
  22279. 2.90116,
  22280. 53.68885
  22281. ],
  22282. "rel_mad": 0.8947,
  22283. "threshold_self": 76.990633,
  22284. "threshold_note": "max(center×max(1+2.0×relMAD, 1.3), 健康期最大×1.05) — 由该台自身散布定非拍脑袋倍数, 且保证历史正常波动不自触发",
  22285. "healthy_windows": [
  22286. "hist2024_w0504",
  22287. "hist2024_w1226",
  22288. "hist2025_w0314",
  22289. "w0127"
  22290. ],
  22291. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22292. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22293. "latest": 2.90116,
  22294. "x_self": 0.105,
  22295. "in_normal_band": true,
  22296. "spread": 18.506,
  22297. "trend_flag": null
  22298. },
  22299. "Peak": {
  22300. "n_windows_total": 4,
  22301. "n_windows_healthy": 4,
  22302. "excluded": [],
  22303. "unit": "m/s²",
  22304. "self_baseline": 28.9945,
  22305. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22306. "normal_band": [
  22307. 22.6402,
  22308. 35.8137
  22309. ],
  22310. "rel_mad": 0.2153,
  22311. "threshold_self": 41.4804,
  22312. "threshold_note": "max(center×max(1+2.0×relMAD, 1.3), 健康期最大×1.05) — 由该台自身散布定非拍脑袋倍数, 且保证历史正常波动不自触发",
  22313. "healthy_windows": [
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  22315. "hist2024_w1226",
  22316. "hist2025_w0314",
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  22318. ],
  22319. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22320. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22321. "latest": 22.8629,
  22322. "x_self": 0.789,
  22323. "in_normal_band": true,
  22324. "spread": 1.582,
  22325. "trend_flag": null
  22326. },
  22327. "Rms_HP": {
  22328. "n_windows_total": 4,
  22329. "n_windows_healthy": 4,
  22330. "excluded": [],
  22331. "unit": "m/s²",
  22332. "self_baseline": 3.86303,
  22333. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22334. "normal_band": [
  22335. 2.48452,
  22336. 5.62314
  22337. ],
  22338. "rel_mad": 0.3492,
  22339. "threshold_self": 6.56116,
  22340. "threshold_note": "max(center×max(1+2.0×relMAD, 1.3), 健康期最大×1.05) — 由该台自身散布定非拍脑袋倍数, 且保证历史正常波动不自触发",
  22341. "healthy_windows": [
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  22343. "hist2024_w1226",
  22344. "hist2025_w0314",
  22345. "w0127"
  22346. ],
  22347. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22348. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22349. "latest": 5.62314,
  22350. "x_self": 1.456,
  22351. "in_normal_band": true,
  22352. "spread": 2.263,
  22353. "trend_flag": null
  22354. },
  22355. "Rms_Vel": {
  22356. "n_windows_total": 4,
  22357. "n_windows_healthy": 4,
  22358. "excluded": [],
  22359. "unit": "mm/s",
  22360. "self_baseline": 0.000711,
  22361. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22362. "normal_band": [
  22363. 0.000389,
  22364. 0.001119
  22365. ],
  22366. "rel_mad": 0.4484,
  22367. "threshold_self": 0.001349,
  22368. "threshold_note": "max(center×max(1+2.0×relMAD, 1.3), 健康期最大×1.05) — 由该台自身散布定非拍脑袋倍数, 且保证历史正常波动不自触发",
  22369. "healthy_windows": [
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  22371. "hist2024_w1226",
  22372. "hist2025_w0314",
  22373. "w0127"
  22374. ],
  22375. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22376. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22377. "latest": 0.001027,
  22378. "x_self": 1.445,
  22379. "in_normal_band": true,
  22380. "spread": 2.874,
  22381. "trend_flag": null
  22382. },
  22383. "iso_rms_vel": {
  22384. "n_windows_total": 4,
  22385. "n_windows_healthy": 4,
  22386. "excluded": [],
  22387. "unit": "-",
  22388. "self_baseline": 0.000769,
  22389. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22390. "normal_band": [
  22391. 0.000393,
  22392. 0.001205
  22393. ],
  22394. "rel_mad": 0.4826,
  22395. "threshold_self": 0.001511,
  22396. "threshold_note": "max(center×max(1+2.0×relMAD, 1.3), 健康期最大×1.05) — 由该台自身散布定非拍脑袋倍数, 且保证历史正常波动不自触发",
  22397. "healthy_windows": [
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  22399. "hist2024_w1226",
  22400. "hist2025_w0314",
  22401. "w0127"
  22402. ],
  22403. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22404. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22405. "latest": 0.001205,
  22406. "x_self": 1.567,
  22407. "in_normal_band": true,
  22408. "spread": 3.064,
  22409. "trend_flag": null
  22410. }
  22411. },
  22412. "Generator_NDE": {
  22413. "Kurtosis": {
  22414. "n_windows_total": 4,
  22415. "n_windows_healthy": 4,
  22416. "excluded": [],
  22417. "unit": "-",
  22418. "self_baseline": 3.01693,
  22419. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22420. "normal_band": [
  22421. 2.96942,
  22422. 3.033325
  22423. ],
  22424. "rel_mad": 0.004,
  22425. "threshold_self": 3.922009,
  22426. "threshold_note": "max(center×max(1+2.0×relMAD, 1.3), 健康期最大×1.05) — 由该台自身散布定非拍脑袋倍数, 且保证历史正常波动不自触发",
  22427. "healthy_windows": [
  22428. "hist2024_w0504",
  22429. "hist2024_w1226",
  22430. "hist2025_w0314",
  22431. "w0127"
  22432. ],
  22433. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22434. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22435. "latest": 3.00927,
  22436. "x_self": 0.997,
  22437. "in_normal_band": true,
  22438. "spread": 1.022,
  22439. "trend_flag": null
  22440. },
  22441. "Peak": {
  22442. "n_windows_total": 4,
  22443. "n_windows_healthy": 4,
  22444. "excluded": [],
  22445. "unit": "m/s²",
  22446. "self_baseline": 21.1702,
  22447. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22448. "normal_band": [
  22449. 20.89355,
  22450. 21.7128
  22451. ],
  22452. "rel_mad": 0.0108,
  22453. "threshold_self": 27.52126,
  22454. "threshold_note": "max(center×max(1+2.0×relMAD, 1.3), 健康期最大×1.05) — 由该台自身散布定非拍脑袋倍数, 且保证历史正常波动不自触发",
  22455. "healthy_windows": [
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  22457. "hist2024_w1226",
  22458. "hist2025_w0314",
  22459. "w0127"
  22460. ],
  22461. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22462. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22463. "latest": 21.7128,
  22464. "x_self": 1.026,
  22465. "in_normal_band": true,
  22466. "spread": 1.039,
  22467. "trend_flag": null
  22468. },
  22469. "Rms_HP": {
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  22472. "excluded": [],
  22473. "unit": "m/s²",
  22474. "self_baseline": 4.693465,
  22475. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22476. "normal_band": [
  22477. 4.596005,
  22478. 5.27114
  22479. ],
  22480. "rel_mad": 0.0108,
  22481. "threshold_self": 6.101504,
  22482. "threshold_note": "max(center×max(1+2.0×relMAD, 1.3), 健康期最大×1.05) — 由该台自身散布定非拍脑袋倍数, 且保证历史正常波动不自触发",
  22483. "healthy_windows": [
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  22485. "hist2024_w1226",
  22486. "hist2025_w0314",
  22487. "w0127"
  22488. ],
  22489. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22490. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22491. "latest": 5.27114,
  22492. "x_self": 1.123,
  22493. "in_normal_band": true,
  22494. "spread": 1.147,
  22495. "trend_flag": null
  22496. },
  22497. "Rms_Vel": {
  22498. "n_windows_total": 4,
  22499. "n_windows_healthy": 4,
  22500. "excluded": [],
  22501. "unit": "mm/s",
  22502. "self_baseline": 0.000802,
  22503. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22504. "normal_band": [
  22505. 0.000714,
  22506. 0.000966
  22507. ],
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  22661. "latest": 0.000151,
  22662. "x_self": 1.016,
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  22665. "trend_flag": null
  22666. },
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  22706. 33.1482
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  22775. "latest": 0.275422,
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  22829. "recovered_after_anchor": null,
  22830. "latest_window": "w0127",
  22831. "latest": 0.013491,
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  22877. "x_self": 0.988,
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  22900. 27.7772
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  22909. "w0707",
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  22912. "w0805",
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  22915. "recovered_after_anchor": true,
  22916. "latest_window": "w0811",
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  22918. "x_self": 1.012,
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  22948. "hist2025_w0314",
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  22951. "w0711",
  22952. "w0724",
  22953. "w0805",
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  22956. "recovered_after_anchor": true,
  22957. "latest_window": "w0811",
  22958. "latest": 8.3726,
  22959. "x_self": 1.06,
  22960. "in_normal_band": true,
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  22973. "window": "hist2024_w0831",
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  22978. "self_baseline": 0.003448,
  22979. "self_baseline_stat": "中位 of 健康期窗中位",
  22980. "normal_band": [
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  22982. 0.003683
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  22984. "rel_mad": 0.0477,
  22985. "threshold_self": 0.004482,
  22986. "threshold_note": "max(center×max(1+2.0×relMAD, 1.3), 健康期最大×1.05) — 由该台自身散布定非拍脑袋倍数, 且保证历史正常波动不自触发",
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  22991. "w0707",
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  22993. "w0724",
  22994. "w0805",
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  22997. "recovered_after_anchor": true,
  22998. "latest_window": "w0811",
  22999. "latest": 0.003468,
  23000. "x_self": 1.006,
  23001. "in_normal_band": true,
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